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MALAMUTEMAN

On the internet they can't tell that your actually a dog...
Articles Posted: 166  Links Seeded: 5
Member Since: 8/2008  Last Seen: 5/16/2012

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The answer to our energy problems is NOT clean renewable energy...

Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:00 PM EST
environment, climate-change, energy, oil, global-warming, nasa, planet, fossil-fuels, blue-marble, exon
By MalamuteMan

The Blue Marble
Photo by NASA Goddard Photo and Video

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First I want to offer my thanks to Physicist-retired and Pacific Northwest Blogger for their inspiration and encouragement to write this article. In PR's article PNWB provided a link to What NASA's Blue Marble Photo Reveals About Climate Change. The author of the Blue Marble article said a couple of things which ultimately became the inspiration for my comments in PR's article and this article.

Talking about unprecedented profits made by fossil-fuel companies the Blue Marble author said...

Telling the truth about climate change would require pulling away the biggest punchbowl in history, right when the party is in full swing. And that's why those of us battling for the future need to raise our game.

...and talking about why the fossil-fuel companies don't want to invest their huge profits in "new clean technology" he said...

...their value is largely based on fossil-fuel reserves that won't be burned if we ever take global warming seriously.


I hate to rain on things with my gloomy perspective, but there is something those fossil fuels offer that is not so easily had with other fuels... transportability. I got an email from Maria Cantwell today that said something about a new move afoot to open ANWR again. I'm all for keeping it closed... FOREVER!!! But when this issue first came up, I said to myself... There is no way to save it. We can close it now, and we can fight to keep it closed for decades. But eventually, scarcity and demand will overwhelm all efforts to keep that oil in the ground. Fossil fuel profiteers will scour the planet to find every last drop (or crumb in the case of coal)... and us consumers (speaking generally, not specifically) will sit eagerly at their feet hoping and begging for whatever morsels we can get... without a thought about the disaster we are leaving for future generations... or even any consideration for what we will do when that last drop is finally gone.

I have been fiddling around with a graphic I am thinking of using in an article on scale. Contemplation of scale has been one of the most influential factors in the formation of my views. Almost everyone considers everything in the context of their own scale... their lifespan... and the dimension of their own body. If we look beyond the scale of ourselves, we get a different perspective. In his State of the Union Address, the President mentioned something about having 100 years of natural gas available to us... Some people say that it is probably closer to 10 years. Well I say... SO WHAT!!! It really doesn't matter whether it is 10 or 100 or 1000... that span of time is inconsequential when compared to the time it will take to replace that fuel. All that anyone seems to be able to consider is what we need RIGHT NOW.

Since the sun isn't likely to burn out for at least a couple of billion years, then if we completely convert to renewable energy, will that solve our energy problems??? I don't think so. That would be a big improvement compared to dumping carbon into the incredibly thin and fragile atmosphere upon which we are so dependent, but it is the QUANTITY of energy we consume to fulfill all of our wonderful human endeavors that is the 800 lb. gorilla in the room nobody wants to talk about. Very few people are willing to consider the notion that we... collectively, every human on the planet... MUST DO LESS. Our "Blue Marble" has a finite capacity for dealing with the impacts of human activity.

The answer to our energy problems is not clean renewable energy... although that beats the heck out of the alternative... it is quite simply accepting the idea that we must learn to live within the limits of our precious Blue Marble's capacity to support us.

 


 

A few other comments in PR’s article gave me an opportunity to offer more clarity to my point, so I decided to add them to this article.

Tim S.-560036 made an interesting and relevant comment about a necessary paradigm shift…

rls8r provided some links relevant to the topic, and in one of those articles I found this…

In our day … technical solutions are always welcome. …it takes courage to assert that a desired technical solution is not possible.

To that I say, “It takes even more courage to assert that a possible technical solution is not desired.”

rls8r said…
I'm less optimistic about a paradigm shift as I am about improvement in technology...

Mal said…
Me too... The paradigm shift I am talking about is the acceptance of the idea we need less technology, not more. We are absolutely in love with technology... and to be sure, it does some wonderful and amazing things!!! Unfortunately technology is the root cause of the ever accelerating RATE OF CHANGE on the planet. Rapid change makes it difficult to adapt... adaptability is essential for long-term survival.

rls8r said…
I'm not, in general, a 'technology will save us' kinda guy...

Mal said…
Me either... in fact I am much more of a "technology is killing us" kind of guy... I may not be the only person saying this... but there are damn few of us, and we get about as much credibility as the Flat Earth Society.


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  • Public Discussion (153)
MalamuteMan

Hey Tree-huggers, before you get your knickers in a knot over the title you should know, I’m a tree-hugger too, and I’m a big supporter of “Clean Renewable Energy”… even if I don’t think it is “the answer to our energy problems.”

[Mal steps down off of his soapbox…]

  • 7 votes
Reply#1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:01 PM EST
ryoushi12

Yes, you are right, IF the goal is to continue as humans have been for the last 200 years or so. Of course the problem is that the oil is going, fast, and coal gasification will be A LOT more expensive, and natural gas is of limited use for powering transport..

The truth nobody wants to face is the cheap free ride that we have known is over, and that a lot of conviences are goinng the way of the dinosaur for a while anyway.

  • 3 votes
#1.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:08 PM EST
John Bayner

And everyone knows if you build too many wind turbines, the Earth will stop rotating, and if you build too many solar panels, it will cause the Sun to burn out.

  • 1 vote
#1.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:43 PM EST
Jonathan-1917156

john,

well I do hope that was sarcasm, but one question that I do have is that since wind is a form of energy that the planet uses to conduct various natural processes (temperature stabilization for one, but PR might be better informed), a windmill works by taking some of that energy to create electricity (transform from one form of energy to another). If we build enough windmills, do we run the risk of disrupting that balance that the wind itself serves the planet?

  • 1 vote
#1.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:06 PM EST
MalamuteMan

If we build enough windmills, do we run the risk of disrupting that balance that the wind itself serves the planet?

A wonderfully insightful question!!! Whether the answer is yes or no, THAT is the way we should approach our technological endeavors.

  • 3 votes
#1.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:10 PM EST
Physicist-retired

If we build enough windmills, do we run the risk of disrupting that balance that the wind itself serves the planet?

The larger issue is disruption of local wind patterns - and building a massive number of wind turbines could (in theory) disrupt wind patterns in ways that are impossible to predict. Having said that, it's possible to build enough turbines to provide the entire planet with power, with plenty left over.

This study calculates that wind power could provide 5 times the amount of energy we currently use (that's all of us). They assumed 2.5 megawatt turbines on land, and 3.6 megawatt turbines off shore. They also assumed that the wind would blow hard enough for those turbines to operate at maximum capacity only 20% of the time. And the end result is a net output equal to 500% of the world's current energy use.

For the U.S., they found that, simply by scattering turbines across the Great Plains, we could produce 16 times the amount of energy we use today. Off-shore turbines could add even more power.

Is this a serious plan? Not really. But it shows that we can build plenty of turbines without having to worry too much about the impacts they'll have on the environment.

And, of course, those impacts probably pale in comparison to what we're doing today.

  • 4 votes
#1.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:56 PM EST
Jonathan-1917156

what about the cost of producing those turbines? which in itself creates pollution.

  • 1 vote
#1.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 6:26 PM EST
johny-388777

I have to disagree with the problem of not wanting more technology. The word technology has a wide interpretation.

I think the problem is that the appliances do not have enough technology. I'd like even appliances to send via wifi the amount of energy they use. Id like the meter infront of the house that shows how much the household uses electricity, to display via wifi the amount of energy used. Then we have applications on our pc/tv to check it. The wifi can switch on and off with a timing circuit that would use microwatts.

This technology works and would help people make better use of there energy.

When you keep people informed, you help them to make better judgments.

Then we need Consumer Financial Protection Bureau , To get in and make the contracts we sign with the telephone, credit card, banking more readable.

Why is it so important? It could be 200 billion a year is lost to the banks because the consumer does not make the best decisions. This is because they are kept in the dark and with the time wasting with the jargon rather then getting to heart of the problem.

I am tired of the jargon, the time wasting. Again to help people make better use of there finances. This then is an enabler for them to have more money to use to get more energy efficient products. Do you think everyone wants to drive an old junk heap?

It is like the calories on food. Many people don't care about the calories on the food. I know many who do. They actually calorie count and look at there BMI over time and use diaries to get the body shape they want. It is very easy. Every time you eat just write down the calories in a notebook. Thats all there is too it.

Its just a shame that the media do not have more programs on the mainstream news to have calorie counting and getting people to go along with it.

  • 1 vote
#1.7 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 8:36 PM EST
johny-388777

Jonathan-1917156

what about the cost of producing those turbines? which in itself creates pollution.

That is interesting and it should be shown on the details. It could be called an estimate done by a third party or even university or government body.

Anything that could be less prone to corruption and cronyism.

Though I think it is obvious to myself that the weeks it takes to make a turbine and the years of service show that the pollution during the manufacturing is small compared to green energy it will make.

The other thing to make calorie counting better would be to have the numbers big so people do not have to use glasses.

  • 1 vote
#1.8 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 8:44 PM EST
johny-388777

I do think that we need an energy policy to help preserve fossil fuels .

After all the waring, id like the USA to self focus and bring down the costs of renewable energy. How? The carbon fiber technology is expensive to use. If the costs of more durable materials can be brought down. The long term costs of servicing turbines will fall. We need to make vehicles more light. We need to make trains ( public transport) more efficient. The ideas are here. The solutions await someone to go and implement it.

I see a key problem in the usa is to make public transport more effective. I am not against cars. I just want people to use public transport when they can. The biggest reason why people do not use public transport is that it takes too long. In our society, time is money.

The congestion problem can be solved right here in the United States. If we solve this congestion problem, we will attract business and jobs to the United States.

Ok. how? We need zero wait time public trains. How? At Heathrow airport we have pods. They are small automated cars.

We could implement this system. So as soon as you get to the station a small pod takes you away. Rather then you wait for a big train. This would not be practical everywhere, Maybe at peak time we need bigger trains.

We would need better organised trains. The lifespan of and service intervals could increase if we make better use of the vehicles.

Though I see the problems where cronyism comes into play. We don't want leasing and other arrangements. Each level of contracting requires a profit to be made. We need to focus on this. The long term costs.

If not carbon fiber? Not sure what we can use.

I am worry about using too much solar power. There are days when it is cloudy.

The winds seem to be more predictable then solar.

  • 1 vote
#1.9 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:06 PM EST
gramora

What about the butterfly theory in relationship to turbines? Bet those turbines were humming today, we had 45 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 85 mph!

How about bringing back horses as transportation, I have two for sale! Or limit the number of cars to one per family for starters and put solar panels on every roof and a wind mill in every yard. That would create jobs too.

Maybe we could get oil and gas on the endangered species list and get what's left protected, so that future generations will know what it was that brought the world to the brink of extinction.

I hate technology and would gladly go back to a more primitive way of life. Lets face it, humans are parasites and, like any good parasite, we will eventually kill our host, just never thought I'd see it im my lifetime....

Good article.

    #1.10 - Wed Feb 22, 2012 7:59 PM EST
    MalamuteMan

    Maybe we could get oil and gas on the endangered species list and get what's left protected, so that future generations will know what it was that brought the world to the brink of extinction.

    How thoughtful... ;-)

    I hate technology and would gladly go back to a more primitive way of life. Lets face it, humans are parasites and, like any good parasite, we will eventually kill our host, just never thought I'd see it im my lifetime....

    Me too on all of that, but I guess you figured that out from the article...

    Good article.

    Thanks gramora! :-)

      #1.11 - Wed Feb 22, 2012 8:38 PM EST
      Reply
      etva

      Excellent article, Mal! Technology has done some amazing and wonderful things, but it is not the answer to every problem.

      [etva wandering around lost, looking for a paradigm shift]

      • 8 votes
      Reply#2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:12 PM EST
      MalamuteMan

      Thanks etva!

      [etva wandering around lost, looking for a paradigm shift]

      [Mal shows etva where he found a par a dign' ...]

      • 4 votes
      #2.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:34 PM EST
      etva

      LOL! [etva the earth pig starts digging]

      • 4 votes
      #2.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:47 PM EST
      Reply
      hugh b

      okay, i don't get it, your point is?

      energy is not the only issue, it is what is done with petroleum

      it has been used to create an unsustainable population by using it to synthetically fertilize the earth to obtain higher yields...that and that alone is a huge threat to humans

      when you are no longer able to provide the nutrients that make the crops grow, the earth beneath that fertilized veneer is a desert

      now you have a population that has grown beyond natural sustainability and the only reason is because of greed, plain and simple...

      and when the oil, gas, fertilizer, and any other resource now in our food chain gets choked off you have an almost immediate tremor foreboding a calamity

      add to it the destruction of the oceans' bio-diversity, the lack of fresh potable water, the destruction of underground aquifers, and how many other things...

      your one dimensional understanding of the issue is, well, staggering in its simplistic, point?

      but what it does do is give us a reason to keep a huge military lock, loaded, and ready to corrupt

      • 3 votes
      #3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 12:48 PM EST
      Jonathan-1917156

      His point is that it isn't as simple as just moving to 'renewable' energy (petroleum is renewable too if you really look at it, we are just consuming it far faster than it can be renewed). There are a lot of other factors, some of then including that the 'alternative' may not be better in the end for the environment than what it is 'replacing'.

      • 5 votes
      #3.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:02 PM EST
      blue wolf

      Hugh, I'd venture a guess (it would be an interesting study) that in this country at least, 3 or 4 times the amount of food that is actually eaten is produced. I think the bigger problem is allowing ourselves to put our food needs largely in the hands of corporations. Many, many, many people could and do produce most of the food they eat themselves.

      We did, when I was growing up. If you look around and actually take account of all the arable land which is unproductive, even within the confines of urban settings, you'll see what I mean.

      Consipcuous consumption is another area in this country that is way out of whack.

      There are things we can do.

      One man, with no power tools can easily grow enough food for 8 people.

      What we really need to do is realize that with all out technological advantages, we are no happier, safer, less slaves and on and on. A complete rethought of life is in order.

      • 6 votes
      #3.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:06 PM EST
      MalamuteMan

      hugo,

      your one dimensional understanding of the issue is, well, staggering in its simplistic, point?

      I thought you said...

      i don't get it, your point is?

      I believe that you don't get my point... because the basis of my point is all of the destructive actions you listed in your comment... and more. I agree whole heatedly with all of your points! Did you happen to read the first comment I left in the article???

      Hey Tree-huggers, before you get your knickers in a knot over the title you should know, I’m a tree-hugger too, and I’m a big supporter of “Clean Renewable Energy”… even if I don’t think it is “the answer to our energy problems.”

      In an effort to make my point as succinctly as I possibly can I will say this, "Mankind is destroying the planet!" Is that clear enough for you??? One dimensional??? Perhaps...

      • 4 votes
      #3.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:09 PM EST
      Jonathan-1917156

      blue.

      land should be let periodically anyways. That doesn't make the land unproductive, it just means the land is 'recovering' from the previous years of farming.

      The soil that we grow our food in should be a living thing, bacteria, worms, etc... should be a part of the soil, because it is the by products of that which actually goes into our food as nutrients. The current overuse of fertilizer is actually killing the soil, making it just a matrix to hold the root rather than the living thing that it should be.

      • 5 votes
      #3.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:11 PM EST
      MalamuteMan

      Thanks You Jonathan!!!

      His point is that it isn't as simple as just moving to 'renewable' energy (petroleum is renewable too if you really look at it, we are just consuming it far faster than it can be renewed). There are a lot of other factors, some of then including that the 'alternative' may not be better in the end for the environment than what it is 'replacing'.

      You DID get my point, and summarized it very well!!!

      To this...

      ...petroleum is renewable too if you really look at it, we are just consuming it far faster than it can be renewed...

      I say... If our numbers were small enough, every one of us could drive a muscle car and the planet would have no trouble washing away whatever negative effects that might have.

      • 3 votes
      #3.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:14 PM EST
      hugh b

      oh now i get it, reduce the population that has been artificially supported and encouraged

      what is the time scale in which you wish to reduce our numbers so that those numbers will be "small enough"?

      so when where who and how do we start this population reduction?

      • 1 vote
      #3.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:30 PM EST
      Jonathan-1917156

      Malamute

      It was really interesting that in Canada, there is a former member of greenpeace, an organization that is extremely anti nuclear. That former member has over the last few years, actually coming out in favour of nuclear power, not because it doesn't have issues, it most certainly does, but that on the whole, nuclear powers issues are containable and controllable. That is something that you can't say about stripping off the surface of 1/4 of the province of alberta (the size of the tar sands deposits), burning who knows how many cubic feet of natural gas to 'steam' the crap out of the tar sands, all for the package known as oil and its products.

      When a member of a world known environmental organization starts to show some realization of the complexity of the situation that we are in, well maybe there is hope yet.

      • 4 votes
      #3.7 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:33 PM EST
      Jonathan-1917156

      hugh,

      that's not what he is saying, though our population, along with the severely reduced infant mortality as well as much longer life spans, is actually doing more damage than good. He was basically saying that if the planet had less than a billion people on it, the impact on our planet wouldn't be as severe. That's all.

      • 3 votes
      #3.8 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:35 PM EST
      blue wolf

      I understand fallow land Jonathan. I know farmers in Canada who use no pesticeds, no chemical fertilizers and who simply green manure 1/4 of the cropland every year, leave 1/4 fallow and grow very good yield crops on the remaining half.

      Green manure and rotation.

      Interstingly enough, studies have shown that when people have enough to eat, they stop having so many children, at least in undeveloped countries.

      Even here, pregnancy rates are dropping rapidly. Education can save this place.

      • 4 votes
      #3.9 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:45 PM EST
      hugh b

      nuclear power containable and controllable, really, hmmm

      i guess i'm wrong to suggest that we have yet found a way or place to store nuclear waste

      and i'd talk to japan about how it sees nuclear after the fukushima debacle

      also look up the wedge game with regards to energy resolutions, consumption should be the lead, reduce demand

      Jonathan, I don't need everything explained to me unless you read my posts you wouldn't know why...I appreciate the effort though, but explaining the obvious is ridiculous,

      no @!$%# really, if we were under a billion people, so when do we start?

        #3.10 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:54 PM EST
        Jonathan-1917156

        Hugh:

        Actually we have found a way to store it, it is just that politics won't let it happen. That isn't a 'science' or 'engineering' issue, it is a political one.

        Mistakes were made at both Chernobyl and Fukashima, but remember that with Fukashima, it took a 'perfect storm' to trigger what happened, in addition to human error.

        As to the explaining, this is a public forum, so I hope you don't mind that if I am posting on here, that I am not just speaking to you, I am speaking to everyone that may happen to be reading the post. I read all posts that I see by the way that are in blue, though for some reason I generally don't see a lot of yours. That could just be the articles that we tend to frequent, that's all.

        Blue:

        Yes, it has been shown that as societies become richer, they tend to have fewer children, with one major exception, that is china, which is different because they forced the matter through laws and instituted a one child policy even before the country was 'rich' enough to have the population growth drop naturally.

        However, I sometimes wonder if the issue isn't wealth, but the natural tendency to a secular society, rather than a religious one. A topic that could be the subject of an article all unto itself.

        • 3 votes
        #3.11 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:05 PM EST
        blue wolf

        Well I think the real reason is that when you're destitute, you need every hand possible to gather food.

        If people are informed, they will choose to not have children.

        • 1 vote
        #3.12 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:11 PM EST
        MalamuteMan

        hugo,

        oh now i get it, reduce the population that has been artificially supported and encouraged

        what is the time scale in which you wish to reduce our numbers so that those numbers will be "small enough"?

        so when where who and how do we start this population reduction?

        As I said, I don't have a solution for excess population... When the population is reduced (I am pretty sure that is inevitable)... I have no idea how that will happen... but I am pretty sure that however it happens, it will not be a happy event.

        • 4 votes
        #3.13 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:37 PM EST
        Jonathan-1917156

        malamute.

        Sorry, but again, his hame is Hugh, not Hugo.

          #3.14 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:47 PM EST
          mf-3735877

          A lot of good comments here:

          Blue - I agree we could grow more of our own food, waste less, and do it without major petrochemical inputs. Urban homesteading, intensive gardening, micro-farming are catching on. I'm part way through a multi-year effort to convert my entire yard into a garden and I'm already harvesting more than I can eat. Drive around suburbia and look at the large lawns that nobody ever ventures upon except to mow and you see the potential gardens (and reduced food miles and chemicals).

          Regarding (over) population it is at the root of everything else. No solution or combination of solutions, technical or otherwise, will save us if we don't begin to reduce our population. Better education, women's healthcare, birth control, and social safety nets will lead to gradual stabilization and eventual decrease of population.

          • 3 votes
          #3.15 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 9:32 PM EST
          MalamuteMan

          Sorry, but again, his hame is Hugh, not Hugo.

          My apologies again Hugh!

          ARGH!!! Where are my fish oil pills...

          [Mal wanders off muttering...]

          Hugh... Hugh... Hugh... His name is Hugh.

          • 2 votes
          #3.16 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 11:00 PM EST
          johny-388777

          I think that this population issue is going to bite all the people who want less population on the a++e.

          Why? If at some point the Chinese get democracy. All they have to do is copy the American constitution. I am pretty sure that all the brain power will sub plant even english as the world language.

          It is all speculation. Though bigger populations means we can do things that small populations can never do.

          If the USA had a population of 22 million. I am pretty sure we would not only be irrelevant. We would be taken over by someone else. We would not even have this conversation.

          This big population is our security. Its not really the big compared to the whole world.

          Our big problem is lack of education in the USA. The technology in learning should be pushed. We need to spend less time learning and more time being productive.

          • 1 vote
          #3.17 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:17 PM EST
          Reply
          Pacific Northwest Blogger

          The answer to our energy problems is not clean renewable energy... although that beats the heck out of the alternative... it is quite simply accepting the idea that we must learn to live within the limits of our precious Blue Marble's capacity to support us.

          So many thoughts come to mind... Virgin Galactic Save Us! A technological solution decades perhaps hundreds of years in the future that could provide the needed resources for energy, for clean water, for metals - all something out of a Sci Fi novel or 1950's science fiction serial but none the less is a possibility that only requires utilizing the resources we have to get off planet to access even more resources.

          A less technological stop gap which is supported through tax rebates and subsidies would be to simply better insulate our homes or replace older appliances with newer ones. Instead of the washing machine running gallons of water requiring gas or electricity to heat that water we could use cold water cycles to clean our clothes or the new steam washers which use less energy and less water. Myself I spent around $12k putting North Dakota standard insulation in my attic, in my walls, used a case of 50 year caulk and latex vinyl coating paint to seal the outside air gaps, out solar vents on the roof to pull the heat out without tapping into power grid and now receive a notice every few months from my energy utility showing my energy use compared to all my neighbors and I typically rank 2nd in overall lowest consumption - but it's hard to compete with a one vacant home which only leaves the outside light on.

          We could use less and weigh our purchasing decisions from desire to need. Do I need something or is it a desire. Most things tend to be desire so I can do without them. I would like to buy a new car someday but will wait until the EV hybrid is closer to a standard with batteries and recharging not being options but being built into the sale and heavily supported. All those things purchased require energy to make, require mines and processing, have resultant pollutants and side effects. Do we need something or can we better life our lives with less if just a desire?

          Mother earth provides us a home, yet we tear that home apart drilling into it's walls, pouring our refuse into the it's water supply, burning down it's insulation and air supply. I kinda question the human species as being the pinnacle of evolution and wonder what's next? There has to be some evolution, some growth either through genetics or from mind and if I turn on any cable news for more than 5 minutes it's certainly not mind.

          We can do better but we have to listen through all our perspective bubbles to understand all sides of the debate. Do we want shareholder value for Exxon and BP and all those retirement accounts that have investments in those or do we want a healthy planet, a clean and safe home to live in and on? It's not just black and white, nothing works in absolutes. We need a little chaos and a little order but mostly we need to learn how to balance what we have. The Earth just like it's lifeblood of oil is finite and can't be renewed through technology, but we can use technology wisely as a preventative to ensure both last longer and are used in less harmful ways.

          • 7 votes
          Reply#4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:23 PM EST
          MalamuteMan

          Thanks PNWB! Sorry it took me so long to reply!!!

          As always, you have a very practical perspective... Practical is good! See... I did get the point you were making in my last article... ;-)

          • 4 votes
          #4.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:30 PM EST
          Pacific Northwest Blogger

          Thanks, glad you also noticed the link between the two articles.

          • 3 votes
          #4.2 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 5:18 PM EST
          johny-388777

          The Earth just like it's lifeblood of oil is finite and can't be renewed through technology, but we can use technology wisely as a preventative to ensure both last longer and are used in less harmful ways.

          I think that is so true and the a-holes in the oil corporations need to be regulated. We use oil everywhere. Its not so easy to replace.

          I get annoyed when I see oil rigs burning off excess gas and other chemical plants burning off gas that could be used to power things and make them more efficient.

            #4.3 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:22 PM EST
            Man of Knowledge

            I get annoyed when I see oil rigs burning off excess gas and other chemical plants burning off gas that could be used to power things and make them more efficient.

            It's a matter of profit. Gas is costly to store or transport. It requires a great deal more infrastructure than oil. As long as it costs more to use it than it is worth producers will burn it off as waste.

            • 1 vote
            #4.4 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:29 PM EST
            Reply
            hugh b

            no i still don't get it, you seem to arguing in a circle

            and calling petroleum renewable is ludicrous, considering the time scale

            i don't get making an argument and then trying to circle it around to, seemingly, accomplish nothing

            and while talking alternatives, add doing nothing as an alternative and leaving things the way they are, which for an alternative is ridiculous

            so you come back around to what exactly as a point?

            i'm not writing this to be argumentative or intentionally contentious, i want to have an open mind but this argument or post just doesn't make any sense

            as a systems analyst, when trying to figure out a problem, it is systematic. what was done, when was it done, what was the effect, and how do we undo those effects if they are problems

            so an energy resource is found, we exploit it, then we find more and more ways to exploit it, so that eventually far too many aspects of our sustainability pivots off a finite resource

            rather than point out the obvious offer solutions as to how we implement our repair procedure to what we have done to ourselves, not doing anything is not the answer, nor is advocating for the status quo...

            • 1 vote
            Reply#5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:26 PM EST
            Jonathan-1917156

            The concept of renewable doesn't imply any form of time scale. It just implies that the substance can be renewed. If we consumed as much oil as was consumed, say in the middle ages, then it would be completely renewable.

            Lets take another item, fisheries. Something that is considered renewable, but that is only so if we consume it at a lower rate than the reproduction. With our population and increasing energy needs, there really will never be a completely renewable energy source.

            Lets take wind energy, the cost of producing 50 million wind turbines (yes, hyperbole) would far exceed the amount of energy that we could ever hope to get out of them. Same thing with plastering the united states with solar panels. It just isn't concentrated enough to be able to satisfy the need, and the construction of the infrastructure itself consumes copious amounts of so called non renewable energy.

            It isn't that the consumption of oil isn't a problem, it very much is, the problem isn't as simple of just stop burning hydro carbons, it is far more complicated than that.

            I think another example of the offsetting benefits is the example of growing corn for ethanol. While corn is one of the more efficient plants for this (it is called a C4 converter which means that it is more efficient in converting carbon into plant matter). But the use of corn in this manner (I will ignore the cost effectiveness of ethanol production for this) actually does something very significant. The production of ethanol from corn requires the use of the whole plant, not just the 'flower/cob'. In traditional corn harvesting, the bulk of the plant is left on the field, to be used as mulch and organic matter to 'rejuvenate' the soil. When used as biomaterial for ethanol, this doesn't happen, which then means that the soil now needs more fertilizer to compensate. Guess what one of the prime ingredients for synthetic fertilizer is? PETROLEUM.

            There are all kinds of examples like this. It isn't a matter of saying no to alternative energy sources, it is a matter of knowing what the offsetting issues are and making informed decisions as to what is the best solution. This is ALSO needing to consider the prime reason why oil did take over as the prime energy source, that is convenience, storability and density. That is something that very few other sources of energy possesses. The cost of which often will make the alternative less viable than oil

            • 4 votes
            #5.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:47 PM EST
            hugh b

            no @!$%#, really petroleum primary source of fertilizer, now where have i heard that, oh yeah i know, in my previous post above #3

            brilliant, it is a ridiculous circular argument that makes no sense

            and to say there is too much population, no @!$%# really?

            did that have anything to do with crop manipulation, gmo, fertilizer etc....?

            but then what does the runoff from our agriculture do to the oceans? bio-diversity destruction anyone, anyone, tink tink,

              #5.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:58 PM EST
              MalamuteMan

              hugo,

              calling petroleum renewable is ludicrous

              I am NOT calling petroleum renewable!!!! Okay, I did concur with Jonathan's point about renewable petroleum... I'm not exactly sure what he meant by that, but I went on to make the point...

              If our numbers were small enough, every one of us could drive a muscle car...

              The point being, it is not use of petroleum that is the problem... it is TOO MUCH use of petroleum that is the real problem.

              ...this argument or post just doesn't make any sense...

              You seem indignant that I am suggesting there is little or no hope... Part of the reason I feel our circumstance is so hopeless is that many people like yourself, who see all of the same problems I see, fail to see that human nature will prevent us from doing what we need to do to solve the problems. Because the necessary solutions will require GIVING UP much more than pretty anyone will accept.

              rather than point out the obvious offer solutions as to how we implement our repair procedure to what we have done to ourselves, not doing anything is not the answer, nor is advocating for the status quo...

              This issue is not so "obvious" to most people.

              I agree that "not doing anything is not the answer." The reason I said...

              I hate to rain on things with my gloomy perspective...

              ...is that, based on my observations of human nature, I don't see any VIABLE "solutions." I hope to hell there are some... and if I did see them, I would certainly suggest them.

              as a systems analyst...

              FYI- I've been developing software for nearly 4 decades, so I too have a pretty good handle on the "systematic" approach to problem solving. When I am unable to find a solution for a problem I see, I am not inclined to suggest that there necessarily is a solution just because I want there to be one. What I do see is an impending train wreck... and absolutely no breaks or any other solution that have any hope of preventing it. Like I said, I am sorry to offer such a gloomy perspective, but I gotta tell it like I see it.

              Finally... I want to thank you for your commentary hugo!!! Because it provided me a perfect opportunity to make my point about human nature being the insurmountable obstacle that stands in the way of real solutions.

              • 2 votes
              #5.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:05 PM EST
              Jonathan-1917156

              malamute,

              by the way, his name is hugh, not hugo.

              and my comment about renewable is a literal interpretation of the term. It renews. And oil DOES renew, albeit EXTREMELY slowly. That technically makes oil a renewable resource. However, we are consuming it FAR faster than it can be renewed. But that would be the same thing with any other resource that is called renewable. Tree's are considered a renewable resource, but if we chop them down far faster than they can be renewed, then what does that mean? are they still renewable at that point? It is the EXACT same paradigm, just different time and consumption factors.

              • 1 vote
              #5.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:10 PM EST
              MalamuteMan

              ...his name is hugh, not hugo.

              Oops... Sorry hugh! Thanks for the heads up Jonathan!

              ...oil DOES renew, albeit EXTREMELY slowly...

              And that's why I concurred with you in the first place... I was too wrapped up in hugh's indignation with the premise of the article, so I didn't want to get into a debate on that point right there.

              The other day, I was trying to find out exactly how long the petroleum renewal period is... I didn't find anything definitive... found everything from 300 million-ish years (Carboniferous epoch) to the the wildly optimistic estimate that it could be as short as 20 million-ish years. Suppose we use the wildly optimistic estimate that the oil supply we have will last 1000 years and the wildly optimistic estimate that it will only take 20 million years to replace it, then when we run out we will only have to wait around for 19,999,000 years before we have more oil to use. That was the point of my discussion of scale... most people have no grasp of how long 20 million years is... 78 years, the average American lifespan, they understand that, 236 years, age of America, they kinda sorta get that... 2012 years (birth of Christ)... getin' a little fuzzy... Consider this... using the wildly optimistic 20 million year estimate, the oil had been cooking for at least 16 million years before our very very very distant ancestors, Australopithecus Afarensis, came on to the scene. There are all sorts of scale related issues that are pretty difficult to wrap our heads around... and most people have no interest in trying to do that.

              • 1 vote
              #5.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:05 PM EST
              Jonathan-1917156

              Well my point about oil and renewability wasn't that it was practically renewable, just that using the literal definition, it is. But using the same criteria, our use of tree's is considered renewable, but it also isn't because even though we can grow more tree's, (though we tend to build other @!$%# instead of grow more trees lol), we aren't growing enough tree's to replace the ones we are destroying, so something that we consider to be renewable because the time frame is something that we can visualize, it really isn't renewable in practice because our consumption is higher than our replenishment.

              And I think coal is the newer form of 'oil'. Considering that you can make oil from coal (the germans did it in WWII), it just needs another few billion years of compression to turn into oil I guess.

              • 1 vote
              #5.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:14 PM EST
              blue wolf

              Not renewable on any scale like it was originally layed down, because the climate of the earth has changed so much. Oil comes from ancient swamp plants mostly, layed down in organic layers at a time when the climate was much warmer and moist than it is now.

              The physical conditions for that no longer exist on this planet.

              • 3 votes
              #5.7 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 5:16 PM EST
              johny-388777

              I disagree. We do not have enough people .

              The population is too small. I think that if the congress was bigger it would make it harder to corrupt. I think if we had bigger economies of scale we could afford to go to the moon.

              Why? Have you ever been in a class room with 100 children and 1 teacher? They can't control it.

              My argument might have a fallacy in it. Though I can't see it.

              The big educated populations will find and solve the problems. Everything we have is millions of man hours. Someone had to think of everything that is made.

              The petrol engine is millions of man hours. Its in some cases more efficient then diesel engine. Which is theoretically more efficient then the car petrol engine.

              http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_engine

              http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diesel_engine

              Either way. Everything takes millions of man hours. The technology in the CPUs and computers is a result of millions of man hours.

              The structures in buildings and the redundancy are from millions of man hours of thought and experience in structures.

              We suffer from poor management at the top of our businesses.

              They are over paid bozos that make decisions on responses to problems rather then to make decisions to prevent the problems in the first place.

              • 1 vote
              #5.8 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:37 PM EST
              Reply
              A. Macarthur

              If the Republicans made a sequel to Al Gore's movie, it would be entitled ...

              A Convenient Untruth

              Greed kills ...

              And the reality is ...

              "We all live downstream."

              Well done, Mal.

              • 7 votes
              Reply#6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:27 PM EST
              Jensen-576947

              Something to research: I have read that the Government has about 5000 patents, sealed. I am sure some of them are "sealed" for reasonable reasons, but I am sure, that some of the ideas are just "too good." I think that the technology already "exists" but, money is made by people being wasteful, dumb, inefficient, lazy, sick, poor, hungry, cold, etc. The average person spends about 5000/yr or so, just on energy, and somebody makes at lot of money, and taxes on the deal.

              • 3 votes
              Reply#7 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:28 PM EST
              Jonathan-1917156

              Jenson,

              the only legal reason that the US government can seal a patent is for national security. That would mean that opening up the patent would potentially end up doing more harm than good (patents on nuclear weapons technology would be an example of that). A friend of mine has several patents that are sealed, and that is the reason why, they are for military applications with no potential civilian use.

              And the average person doesn't spend 5000/year on energy, they spend it on specific FORMS of energy.

              • 1 vote
              #7.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:50 PM EST
              Jensen-576947

              My point was there is little incentive to not use "old" technology, most jobs are pretty "old school." But I will be like Mitt, I will bet you $10000 that their is at least one patent that is sealed, because the oil companies want it to stay sealed.

              • 2 votes
              #7.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:13 PM EST
              Jonathan-1917156

              I doubt it. People think that there is this silver bullet perpetual energy system that is hidden in patents, and that is not possible. It is basic thermodynamics, and you can't defy the laws of physics, let alone the laws of thermodynamics.

                #7.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:16 PM EST
                johny-388777

                will bet you $10000 that their is at least one patent that is sealed.

                I am thinking it could be possible. I think it would happen if we had competition regulators. Though the reality is that the big corporations just buy up the smaller competitors and put them out of business.

                The other big is export of technology from the USA to outside countries. The executives steal it and sell it. They get the corporation to pay the fine. Us usual we see the corporations pay the fines for criminality by individuals.

                We need to also know that all our trading partners are trying to steal technology. Though we have to remember the USA is no saint in theft of technology from overseas.

                I clearly see big oil corporations buy smaller battery tech start ups. I think this can't be good for competition and/or research.

                I just don't trust these Big oil companies.

                Then we have corporations like Microsoft buying up the competition and we sit and watch the regulators do nothing.

                Then wonder why the software does not keep up with the hardware?

                The Sherman Act of 1890 thought to outlaw the restriction of competition by large companies, who co-operated with rivals to fix outputs, prices and market shares, initially through pools and later through trusts. Trusts first appeared in the US railroads, where the capital requirement of railroad construction precluded competitive services in then scarcely settled territories. This allowed railroads to discriminate on rates imposed and services provided to consumers and businesses, and to destroy potential competitors. Trusts could be dominant in several industries, with the Standard Oil Company trust in the 1880s controlling a number of markets, including the market in fuel oil, lead and whiskey

                This is historical problem still under regulated in the United States.

                • 1 vote
                #7.4 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:47 PM EST
                Reply
                Andrew-1162039

                I hate to rain on things with my gloomy perspective, but there is something those fossil fuels offer that is not so easily had with other fuels... transportability.

                Electricity itself is quite transportable, in fact more so than fossil fuels. The risk of disaster sending AC power over a high voltage power line is much less than say pumping abrasive tar sands through a metal pipeline. If we're talking about creating high energy density fuels that can be used in the act of transportation, that too is not a particularly insurmountable problem: we have carbon neutral algae bio fuels, we have electric cars with batteries like the Leaf, Volt, and the new Ford Fusion, additionally we can use electricity to create hydrogen which can be converted into solid state discs with higher energy density than gasoline.

                The problem is the paradigm shift. How do you get people to buy into the Beta Max when they've already got the VHS?

                • 2 votes
                Reply#8 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:31 PM EST
                Jonathan-1917156

                andrew,

                no electricity is not very transportable, you can't just put it in a car and have the car go 500 miles. It is PORTABLE, but NOT TRANSPORTABLE.

                  #8.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:51 PM EST
                  Andrew-1162039

                  You can't just put it in a car and have the car go 500 miles.

                  Not in a straight electric with current batteries, but that's pretty easy to get around. The range for Honda's FCX hydrogen car for example is 240 miles, comparable to many typical gasoline powered sedans. As I mentioned you can also use algae bio-fuels as an almost direct replacement for gasoline. There's a Boston company currently creating bio-diesel via algae which can produce 20,000 gallons per acre in a carbon neutral manner. You can also combine the technologies, use bio-diesel for extended range and battery power for day to day operation a la the Volt. It's not really an engineering issue, it's a logistic issue.

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:18 PM EST
                  Jonathan-1917156

                  And how do you:

                  a) make that hydrogen in a cost effective manner

                  b) store that hydrogen in a cost effective manner that actually doesn't leak like a sieve

                  There is a VERY big difference between making a workable prototype and making a workable and mass marketable system.

                  Same thing with using Algae. Yes it works, but there is only so much algae based fuel that you can make.

                  You are right, it is very much a logistics (as well as mass production) issue. That is precisely why oil is the dominant fuel. The logistics are simple and the product is so flexible. It alone makes it harder to 'disrupt' it. As others have stated, market dynamics aren't enough. It needs to be forced, but it also needs to be workable enough to be forced.

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:23 PM EST
                  Andrew-1162039

                  a) http://actu.epfl.ch/news/a-chance-discovery-may-revolutionize-hydrogen-pr-2/

                  b) http://www.nature.com/nindia/2011/110131/full/nindia.2011.13.html

                  http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/News/2011/June/28061102.asp

                  I disagree that the engineering itself is inherently that much more difficult than what we're doing now. It's just a matter of actually making the shift and then ironing out the bugs that are part of any new technology. Do I think that it will happen? No, not unless the company doing it finds some way to make it cheaper than the existing technology, which would be tough. We'll simply continue to buy the inferior VHS.

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:53 PM EST
                  cjcold

                  Why are you placing an upper limit figure on algae oil? Theoretically it can even be done economically on a local, cottage industry, mom/pop basis. Since it eats CO2, it seems to be a win/win option

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.5 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 2:52 PM EST
                  Jonathan-1917156

                  cjcold,

                  There is always an upper limit, but in the context of 'replacing' the fuel source for automobiles, there is also a lower limit production requirement, or at least a lower limit that would give it enough critical mass (from a marketing sense, not from a physical mass standpoint) in order to become a viable general solution. This is something that everyone seems to miss. They get something that works in a small scale, but trying to ramp it up, and they hit problems.

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.6 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 3:54 PM EST
                  johny-388777

                  I totally agree with bio algae solution for part of our problem.

                  Though id like cleaner burning fuels or even zero emissions.

                  Though if we had more people looking at the problem. The problem would get resolved faster.

                  Again , Get it More people? More man hours ( ok women looking too) to get the job done.

                  :) Everything is man power ( ok women too).

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.7 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:59 PM EST
                  Andrew-1162039

                  Seventy-eight percent of the driving an American does is inside 40 miles. Power that using electricity and battery power using traditional power-plant generation which can slowly be shifted to alternate methods. See Germany for a prime example as they hit 20% renewables last year and continue to increase the alternative power generation.

                  As far as bio-algae to produce the rest, this would account for the remaining 22% of driving outside of the 40 mile range for the average American, that translates to about 102 gallons a year needed to power a gas generator a la the Volt. Based on the 20,000 gallon an acre algae production that amounts to .005 acres or 200 square feet per person, which seems feasible, all with current technology.

                  • 1 vote
                  #8.8 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 8:18 AM EST
                  Reply
                  pls-no-nonsense

                  I'm sorry to hear of this thinking. "Less" has never worked before, and with so many poor folks digging their way out of poverty across the world it's highly unlikely to start working now. With the world population passing the 7 billion mark, and every single one of them wanting better medicine, better food, better water, better shelter, etc, "less" is a pipe dream.

                  What was said in the column about the fossil crowd is 100% true. It used to be claimed that we wouldn't be able to move on to another energy source until "The last dollars had been extracted from the last drop of oil and the last chunk of coal" and I think that's still true. The hand of the "entrenched money" that insures this, will be seen over and over in the debate. 

                  Running out? That's absolutely laughable. There's plenty of energy, the trouble is that we're so married to fossil fuel. Thermally speaking, we waste, oh, I'd say 80% of what we use, so there's a lot to be gained in efficiency alone. But my point is that the universe (and the Earth) are full of energy resources that aren't fossil, and that don't require screwing up the land or the ocean.

                  Knowing that it's there is one thing, but much is still unknown about how to get it. Covering the turf and the oceans with windmills, solar panels, etc. isn't the answer, either...although it may buy us time and put a lot of people to work, which is needed.

                  I continue to read a lot about low-energy and chemically-assisted nuclear reactions, that don't involve uranium, plutonium, weapon materials, or waste. Over 3000 patents have been issued on this tech in Russia, Japan, the EU and other places, but the physics folks here in the US made sure they killed it off not because it had no merit, but because it didn't fit their preconceived notions of what a nuclear reaction should be, and not to mention it threatened multi-billion research budgets.

                  I also read about great progress in China on better nuclear power, using completely different and much safer designs than that terrible General Electric 50's pressurized water thing that caused so much trouble at 3-mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima. The bad rap this crappy design has given to nuclear energy will continue to grow, because the majority of the world's reactors are of this awful design. We can do much better now, but the damage has been done, not by an intrinsically "evil" technology (nuclear) , but by a VERY BAD first-crack-at-it implementation. Picture ALL aircraft being generally of the Wright Brother's first design - where would we be now?

                  So, why don't we just replace the bad nuke stuff with the better? Once again, "Entrenched money". 

                  What's easier to beat, tech hurdles or entrenched money? We make tech progress all the time, but entrenched money always seems to win. Until we learn how to beat the political power that entrenched money can buy, we will never get escape servitude to fossil fuels.

                  One must add that we have no chance at all of going out to the planets or the stars using "less". Of all the imaginable awful dead ends for humanity, 10 or more billion people on the Earth, all scrambling to live with nowhere at all to go and nothing to hope for, is one of the worst. What kind of people will we be then, if forced into inaction by philosophies of "less" now? I think the totalitarianism of the 20th century will pale in comparison.

                  So, "less' isn't a good idea. There's no choice but to move forward.

                  best regards

                  jim

                   

                   

                   

                   

                   

                    Reply#9 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:45 PM EST
                    Jonathan-1917156

                    Russia has a patent system?

                      #9.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:51 PM EST
                      johny-388777

                      I also read about great progress in China on better nuclear power, using completely different and much safer designs than that terrible General Electric 50's pressurized water thing that caused so much trouble at 3-mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima. The bad rap this crappy design has given to nuclear energy will continue to grow, because the majority of the world's reactors are of this awful design. We can do much better now, but the damage has been done, not by an intrinsically "evil" technology (nuclear) , but by a VERY BAD first-crack-at-it implementation. Picture ALL aircraft being generally of the Wright Brother's first design - where would we be now?

                      That is the problem. We need to look at prevention and put that in the design to make it hard to fail. We need the prevention in the failure systems to be open to public debate.

                      I am all for a system where there is a report for two sides. I say we need the devils advocate and then someone to address these concerns.

                      The problem with our current system is we have one person who can be the CEO and chairman and then populate the board with his own family and friends in a public corporation.

                      Its wrong. Thats why we get an awful lot of bad decisions and failures. Then these same criminals then plea incompetence and spend there time destroying the evidence with a pitful small number of government investigators to check this. The FBI is too small.

                      We need more FBI agents. Not 1000 more. We need 10,000 more.

                      If you are an executive the corporations law means they are competent for the role. The same thing comes into design of buildings. We had engineering people who are qualified to do the job sign off. Then we saw a lot less engineering failures.

                      • 1 vote
                      #9.2 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:18 PM EST
                      Jonathan-1917156

                      I think you need to do some more research,

                      The chernobyl reactor was a graphite moderated reactor, no water in it at all,

                      and the TMI and Fukashima reactors were COMPLETELY different designs, though they were both light water reactors.

                      • 1 vote
                      #9.3 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:22 PM EST
                      Reply
                      HollyKl

                      Great article, Mal. I've been of the opinion for a while that we do need a paradigm shift and that shift needs to include much less reliance on technology for every little aspect of our lives. The problem, of course, is that many people still believe in the ability of technology (some day, some way, some how) to provide the solutions to all our problems without taking into account that our use of technology has created many of those problems or that technology is only as good as the people who wield it. Collectively, we seem to have a vastly inflated sense of our own ingenuity; whatever the problem is, we always believe we can fix it. Some things may indeed be unfixable, at least by human beings...

                      • 5 votes
                      Reply#10 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:52 PM EST
                      MalamuteMan

                      Thanks Holly!!!

                      Wow!!! You said a bunch of stuff that echos exactly what I said in my "What a Piece of Work is Man" article. Like this...

                      ...many people still believe in the ability of technology ... to provide the solutions to all our problems without taking into account that our use of technology has created many of those problems...

                      ...says about the same thing that this says...

                      We introduce one marvelous gadget and potion after another; and when we discover unanticipated and undesirable side effects from our inventions we devise yet another new thing as the remedy.

                      and this...

                      Collectively, we seem to have a vastly inflated sense of our own ingenuity; whatever the problem is, we always believe we can fix it. Some things may indeed be unfixable, at least by human beings...

                      ...is a lot like this...

                      We want to believe we have the wits and the means to invent whatever may be necessary to fulfill our wildest dreams. But so many of those dreams ignore our responsibilities… to ourselves… to future generations… and to all the creatures of this planet. We must learn to discipline ourselves… or perish!

                      Thanks for giving me an opportunity to quote myself for the umptizillionth time. :-)

                      • 4 votes
                      #10.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:42 PM EST
                      HollyKl

                      Well, um, you're welcome! I guess some of us do think on parallel tracks sometimes. That is one thing that gives me a little hope.

                      • 3 votes
                      #10.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:01 PM EST
                      Mr G

                      HollyKI said:

                      The problem, of course, is that many people still believe in the ability of technology (some day, some way, some how) to provide the solutions to all our problems without taking into account that our use of technology has created many of those problems or that technology is only as good as the people who wield it.

                      Good post. In college I took a Ethics and Technology class and wrote my final paper on ethics as applied to the development of Artificial Intelligence. My research brought me to the conclusion that technology itself is ambiguous and the seed of all planned action is intent. However, unintended results can and do occur which are likely due to lack of experience, lack of scope or just plain lazy.

                      • 2 votes
                      #10.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:48 PM EST
                      HollyKl

                      Thanks, Mr G.

                      However, unintended results can and do occur which are likely due to lack of experience, lack of scope or just plain lazy.

                      All of that I think is very true. As well, I think unintended consequences occur due to hubris -- that sense of being so sure we are right that the possibility of being wrong/misguided is dismissed.

                      • 3 votes
                      #10.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:06 PM EST
                      Mr G

                      Silly me. How could I forget ego??? ;-)

                      • 2 votes
                      #10.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:25 PM EST
                      HollyKl

                      Never forget ego... :)

                      • 2 votes
                      #10.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:49 PM EST
                      johny-388777

                      That argument is full of fallacy. Id like you to look at your over reaching arguments and see if you both can find the faults with it.

                      The big problem is people love to try to over reach and blanketley apply ideas. This is when failures occur big time.

                      Examples are numerous.

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.7 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:21 PM EST
                      Mr G

                      johny-388777, Your post 10.7 lacks specifics.

                      1) Who are you talking to?

                      2) What argument "is full of fallacy"?

                      3) HollyKI and my comments were about root cause.

                      The big problem is people love to try to over reach and blanketley (sic) apply ideas.

                      This statement expresses symptoms and not root cause.

                      In order to discuss your post you need to clarify your point and provide examples.

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.8 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 1:00 PM EST
                      MalamuteMan

                      Mr G,

                      ...root cause.

                      My article makes the point that the "root cause" is simply that there are too many people doing too many things... Quoting myself yet again...

                      Our highly developed brains have been so effective at bringing us the comfort and security that was so scarce for the predecessors of our species that now we are overrunning the planet and stressing it beyond its capacity to support us.

                      Specifically about the "root cause" I said...

                      ...technology is the root cause of the ever accelerating RATE OF CHANGE on the planet. Rapid change makes it difficult to adapt... adaptability is essential for long-term survival.

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.9 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 3:02 PM EST
                      Mr G

                      MalamuteMan,

                      I agree there are too many people doing too many things. This controlled chaos is uncontrollable because its very nature promotes instability.

                      However, I must disagree with this comment:

                      "...technology is the root cause of the ever accelerating RATE OF CHANGE on the planet."

                      Yes, technology provides the impetus to accelerate the rate of change more so than without tech but it still boils down to the user. Technology is a tool. How technology is used is root cause and that speaks to intent and action (with desired and undesired results). A hammer can be used to build a hospital or crush a skull. Very different results using the same tech.

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.10 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 6:14 PM EST
                      MalamuteMan

                      A hammer can be used to build a hospital or crush a skull.

                      Point well made Mr G!

                      You are quite correct... WE are responsible for how we use technology... I guess what I am trying to suggest is that technology is VERY seductive... Each new invention may be very wonderful and not so harmful by itself... and the wonderfulness of each invention not only inspires us to seek more wonderfulness with more inventions... but (and this is where it really spins out of control) many inventions facilitate greater and more rapid inventiveness... thus technology is layered upon itself, over and over and over again... and it becomes more and more seductive... Just as a heroine addict doesn't have the self-discipline to say, I can only do this once in a VERY great while... we don't have the self-discipline to say, "Wow! That is a really wonderful thing I just invented... but I better wait a while before moving on to my next wonderful invention... just to be sure there aren't unanticipated and undesirable consequences from my invention." We have convinced ourselves there are no limits... but there are.

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.11 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 7:56 PM EST
                      Mr G

                      Mal,

                      Thanks for clarifying. Yes, technology is very seductive. I believe if there is an answer to our ills, it lies less in technology and more within ourselves. And your comments regarding the snowballing of technological growth and seduction and the lack of self-discipline really hit the mark.

                      Great topic!

                      • 1 vote
                      #10.12 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 9:02 PM EST
                      Reply
                      Physicist-retired

                      Mal,

                      Well done.

                      You are absolutely correct that renewables (and, I'd add, recycling, reuse, eating local/sustainable/vegetarian/vegan etc., etc., etc.), simply will not be enough to get us where we need to be. Don't get me wrong - I support all those things, and do even more. But it's simply not enough.

                      Tim S.-560036 has written on this at length, and I agree with his assessment. Our current profit-driven society has no chance of rising to the challenges we face. Especially in this country (but in many others as well) profit is the ultimate goal, and consumerism drives the economy. Our goals are poorly aligned with our actual needs (a planet capable of sustaining us).

                      In fact, they aren't aligned at all.

                      A paradigm shift is exactly what's required. As you say:

                      ...it is quite simply accepting the idea that we must learn to live within the limits of our precious Blue Marble's capacity to support us.

                      And that won't happen. Look at what's going on around you. There is a true culture war in this country - and that war goes much deeper than abortion, guns, and climate change. It goes to our core belief in Capitalism. It goes to our core belief in who we are as Americans.

                      Moreover, the intensity of this war is increasing. And this is the worst news of all, because when you challenge a person’s position on an issue core to his or her identity, facts and arguments are seen as attacks, and are easily deflected. They are ignored. They persuade no one.

                      In the course of doing some research this morning, I was stunned to find that I have a local Agenda 21 Tea Party just minutes from my home. These people think that bike paths (and lightbulbs, and renewable energy, and barriers built to protect us against rising seas) are all part of a U.N. plot. They really do. And groups like this are sprouting up everywhere.

                      We're moving in the wrong direction here.

                      And so everything you say is right. But we won't fix this in time. I'm quite sure of that.

                      Excellent article, as always.

                      • 7 votes
                      #11 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 1:55 PM EST
                      Vis Major

                      You are talking about changing the very nature of our species. That won't happen. So what can we do with what we have? Wait for a plague? The War for resources?

                      Clean, renewable energy needs to become the punchbowl.

                      • 1 vote
                      #11.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:02 PM EST
                      Jonathan-1917156

                      Vis Major,

                      but that drive for 'renewables' is in itself is in some ways driving the extraction of the 'non renewables'.

                        #11.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:12 PM EST
                        Physicist-retired

                        You are talking about changing the very nature of our species.

                        Perhaps.

                        I'm certainly talking about changing the Western view of 'civilization'. It may even go further than that. But I don't think that a society not based on profit and consumerism (with conspicuous consumption being the ultimate status symbol) has never arisen on the planet.

                        Even in Europe (a place that I lived for several years) the differences are striking. Example: homes are much smaller. Cars are much smaller. Men own 2 or 3 suits - that's all (they wear one while the other is at the cleaners). The whole mindset on consuming, consuming, consuming is very different.

                        Many of them also have a negative population growth rate.

                        That's moving in the right direction, IMO.

                        • 5 votes
                        #11.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:23 PM EST
                        Jonathan-1917156

                        physicist,

                        but even in europe, they compensate by having an export driven society, which is just a matter of saying that even though they don't consume directly, what they do is very much a part of the 'consumption' model.

                          #11.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:25 PM EST
                          blue wolf

                          Yes, we shouldn't make the mistake of thinking the rest of the world is as bent on consumption as we are, and as for my own children, they take this VERY seriously. Things ARE moving in the right direction. If they weren't the big dukearooo wouldn't be going on right now.

                          This is the most critical time in mankinds history I think.

                          We have it in our ability to live by the planets rules. We can either do that, or we can become like a caged monkey who starves himself to death for the euphoria of at-will cocaine.

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:28 PM EST
                          Physicist-retired

                          Well, they certainly are part of the Western view, Jonathan - they just haven't taken it quite as far as we have. In fact, not even close.

                          Bottom line: what we're currently doing is unsustainable. It just is.

                          What will we do about that? My guess is 'nothing'. Or as close to 'nothing' as we can do, for as long as we can do it.

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:29 PM EST
                          MalamuteMan

                          Thanks so much PR!!! It is nice to know I am not alone with this message. Perhaps you could have a word with hugo, I don't think I have been able to do much to assuage his indignation... You're much better at this than I am.

                          Stuff like that "U.N. plot" nonsense is more than enough to tell me there's no hope... Then hearing people who see all the problems you and I see being so indignant about the suggestion that our situation is hopeless just confirms my assessment of human nature.

                          It is as though we are looking up at a blazing 6-mile asteroid bearing down on us and were saying, "We can solve this."

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.7 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:33 PM EST
                          Jonathan-1917156

                          No disagreement there. I often wonder why our society has become so hell bent on the collection of a man made abstract, money, being the meaning of life.

                          I have TONS of money, but if it wasn't for my business objectives, I would have no use for it. It doesn't make me happy, it doesn't fill my life, it is just a number on a piece of paper (meaning how much I have) to me.

                          As to the doing nothing until we absolutely have to, that unfortunately is human nature. It is a sad statement on our civilization.

                          I do think there are LOTS of things that we can do however that doesn't really involve radical change in our lives, things like buying food locally, (this is something that our grocery chains should be doing, trying to source locally rather than from california), more telecommuting, which while it doesn't eliminate consumption, it does reduce the monotonous 2 hour drive into work and home every @!$%#ing day, etc...

                          What I see with a lot of so called alternative energy sources is either, not really practical from a large scale, or it potentially introduces different, but just as severe problems. There is no free lunch, and this is just another example.

                          • 1 vote
                          #11.8 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:37 PM EST
                          blue wolf

                          Well guys let me say that Hoplessness pretty much assures that nothing will be done. I spread the word in every conversation I have pretty much. Its become my mission.

                          Its a good mission.

                          • 4 votes
                          #11.9 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:38 PM EST
                          MalamuteMan

                          blue wolf,

                          Hoplessness pretty much assures that nothing will be done.

                          I sure hope I'm wrong on that "hopelessness" score!

                          I spread the word in every conversation I have pretty much. Its become my mission.

                          Its a good mission.

                          A very good mission indeed!!! Keep up the good work!!!

                          BTW- The pooch that appears in my avatar is White Paw Arluk, his brother is White Paw Arlut, Arluk and Arlut are First Nation (Inuit, I think) words for Gray Wolf and Blue Wolf... I'm not sure which is which. Having digressed into the subject of wolves, I'd like to take this opportunity to throw in an excerpt from one of my favorite Aldo Leopold essays, Think Like a Mountain...

                          A deep chesty bawl echoes from rimrock to rimrock, rolls down the mountain, and fades into the far blackness of the night. It is an outburst of
                          wild defiant sorrow,
                          and of contempt for all the adversities of the world.

                          Perhaps this is behind Thoreau's dictum: In wildness is the salvation of the world. Perhaps this is the hidden meaning in
                          the howl of the wolf,
                          long known among mountains, but seldom perceived among men.
                          ~ from Think Like a Mountain
                          by Aldo Leopold

                          • 2 votes
                          #11.10 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:56 PM EST
                          etva

                          There is a true culture war in this country - and that war goes much deeper than abortion, guns, and climate change. It goes to our core belief in Capitalism. It goes to our core belief in who we are as Americans.

                          Excellent comments PR! I think this summarizes the issues. A paradigm shift requires serious reflection and honesty about our situation -- our actions and their long term impact. At this point, too many people are afraid to consider that we might have to embrace radical new ideas in order to truly address the causes of our problems.

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.11 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:08 PM EST
                          blue wolf

                          I have an 87% gray wolf 13% siberian named whisky (napioki in Blackfoot) funny, but "napioki" actually means "Old Man Hello"

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.12 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:18 PM EST
                          MalamuteMan

                          At this point, too many people are afraid to consider that we might have to embrace radical new ideas in order to truly address the causes of our problems.

                          People don't want to give up the punch bowl.

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.13 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:24 PM EST
                          blue wolf

                          Wouldn't that be something.............annihilated by convinience.

                          • 2 votes
                          #11.14 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:28 PM EST
                          MalamuteMan

                          ...conspicuous consumption being the ultimate status symbol...

                          That is so emblematic of our society... It's an embarrassment. We can't be satisfied with just having things... we have to make sure everybody sees that we have them. What does that say about our values??? What does that say about how we (try to) establish self-esteem???

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.15 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:50 PM EST
                          HollyKl

                          What does that say about how we (try to) establish self-esteem???

                          That we measure self-worth (or at least individual success) by possessions instead of accomplishments.

                          • 3 votes
                          #11.16 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:10 PM EST
                          blue wolf

                          Internal accomplishments are where its really at.

                          • 4 votes
                          #11.17 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:21 PM EST
                          johny-388777

                          I disagree. I think our planet has infinite amounts of energy and we just need innovation to find out how to get it.

                          We need more educated persons to do it. Again everything is man hours to get it. Will artificial intelligence help out in our quests? Hell yea.

                          The commentary that some how we are always having limited resources is a fallacy when looking at our historical progress.

                          The forms of energy we have today did not exist when we had small populations and mass of uneducated peoples.

                          If you want to go live in the bush and live like cave man. You can go and do that.

                          Though don't be surprised when the people who do develop new tech come along and kill you off.

                          Comparison too what? What is the argument about? So we make the earth warmer. It means we need to be more efficient with energy conservation.

                          As usual we have the chicken littles running amok.

                          • 1 vote
                          #11.18 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:27 PM EST
                          johny-388777

                          We keep having the GOP talking about tax reduction for the corporations.

                          We have Obama promise to push down tax rates for corporations.

                          As if that is the solution?

                          No our problem in the USA is income inequality. We need to fix that. This will fix a whole bunch of other problems.

                          The other problem is campaign finance reform to stop the cronyism.

                          • 1 vote
                          #11.19 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 10:33 PM EST
                          Reply
                          blue wolf

                          Well in my opinion, the Judeo/Christian creation myth is behind alot of this. Adam and eve were banished from the garden and the Earth was their place of banishment, their real home elsewhere (heaven) There is a huge dichotomy between the Earth is a place of banishment and it's antithesis....The Earth is my Mother.

                          Thats why I say that typical indiginous views of the land are far superior to European/Judaeo Christian views.

                          • 4 votes
                          Reply#12 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 2:07 PM EST
                          American Spirit

                          We need a source of internal power. The sun is an outside one. We need to harness the power involved around earth's spin. We personally don't notice it but there's got to be some seriously spin effect, perhaps in matter of which yet we not know.

                            Reply#13 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:06 PM EST
                            blue wolf

                            idk but seems as if the rest of the natural world is SCREAMING at us "Use the SUN!!" Fossil fuel is nothing but a form of ancient sunlight anyway.

                            • 2 votes
                            #13.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:19 PM EST
                            RobPlumley

                            Interesting, as an article years ago discussed the possibility of harnessing energy from the magnetic fields around the earth.

                            There is a transportation issue - how to get the energy down to earth via some mechanism. Humans are pretty ingenious.

                            For the short term (within our lifetime), it will have to be a combination of things, and one of them will be to ..... drum roll please ..... use less of it.

                            Using less of it, will in fact be opposed by those who's being is just for the now - economic profits.

                            Part of our push to raise MPG in all cars has resulted in lower consumption, but we need to drive less and focus more on mass-transit than individual transit.

                            Though humans are ingenious, we also are stubborn.

                            • 2 votes
                            #13.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:26 PM EST
                            American Spirit

                            idk but seems as if the rest of the natural world is SCREAMING at us "Use the SUN!!

                            It's still not self sustaining. If we start now, maybe we can figure out how to really light up our world when our own sun goes out. ; )

                            Actually I think we'll harness the power of thought long before we do the spin. The expectations of an experimenter impact the experiment at the quantum level. Once we find how his expectations physically get to that level of matter, we'll have another source to tap. Perhaps the miniscule size of matter involved will give us miniscule sized machines with major output of the energy we require.

                              #13.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:34 PM EST
                              blue wolf

                              Thought is powered by sunlight ;)

                              • 3 votes
                              #13.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:39 PM EST
                              Jonathan-1917156

                              Rob,

                              but that drive for thermal efficiency (which is really what the increase in efficiency means) has for the most part, has ended up being used to create more powerful engines, not vehicles that use less fuel. This is the market dynamic at play, people want their cars to have 400 hp engines, when even in the 60's, that was largely unheard of.

                                #13.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:49 PM EST
                                MalamuteMan

                                Use the SUN!!

                                It's kinda difficult to sell sunlight... Apparently, making solar panels doesn't sound like it will be sufficiently profitable.

                                I heard this little tidbit the other day... In one second the sun puts out more energy than all of mankind has used since the beginning of the industrial revolution... I suspect it is actually WAY more. PR probably knows...

                                • 1 vote
                                #13.6 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:02 PM EST
                                Jonathan-1917156

                                yes, the sun does that, BUT, it is energy that goes out in ALL directions, so unless we create some form of dyson's sphere, we actually can't collect most of it to be able to convert it to energy.

                                • 1 vote
                                #13.7 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:14 PM EST
                                blue wolf

                                Don't the Republicans already own the sun?

                                Just kidding lol ;)

                                • 2 votes
                                #13.8 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:14 PM EST
                                Jonathan-1917156

                                no, just the sunshine up boner's ass.

                                • 2 votes
                                #13.9 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:17 PM EST
                                MalamuteMan

                                ...it is energy that goes out in ALL directions...

                                Well sure, but I don't think we need all of that every second... It seems like a teeny tiny fraction should be sufficient.

                                  #13.10 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:34 PM EST
                                  blue wolf

                                  Huh? i HEARD THAT WAS A DARK, DARK, terrible PLACE!

                                    #13.11 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:36 PM EST
                                    johny-388777

                                    Well we do have a lot of sunlight. In spain they use a brine solution to store the heat from the sun for almost a week. It might be even longer now.

                                    It seems like very salty water can hold heat quiet well. Its cheap. We have the de-salination plants popping up all over the Mediterranean.

                                    What do we do with the salt that comes out of the de-sal? Ha ha. Its coming together well.

                                    • 1 vote
                                    #13.12 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 11:04 PM EST
                                    Reply
                                    Man of Knowledge

                                    I have said all along that our problem was not production of energy, it was consumption. We waste incredible amounts of energy for no good reason other than we like to do it. We could probably use 1/4 of the energy we do now and have a better quality of life.

                                    Personal vehicles do not have to carry their own energy supply.

                                    If we built up instead of sideways we would have more green space, less pollution and more efficent modes of transportation.

                                    Imagine the energy we could save if we turned off all street lights at midnight.

                                    • 5 votes
                                    Reply#14 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:37 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    I live in North Idaho. Its COLD here in winter. This year I started an experiment: I heat only my bedroom unless I'm having company.

                                    Seems to be that the human body adapts it's perception of comfort to the seasons after all ;)

                                    I started thinking about my anscestors, the Blackfeet, who's traditional homeland is the East slope of the Rockies from S.Canada to about where Yellowstone is. They lived in Teepee's through the harshest winters. I thought, what did they know that I don't?

                                    • 4 votes
                                    #14.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:43 PM EST
                                    MalamuteMan

                                    Teepees

                                    I've had 4 of them throughout my life... Never lived through a northern Rockies winter in one or anything remotely close to that... but spent many a night falling asleep while watching the fire die out.

                                    • 4 votes
                                    #14.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:10 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    The point being that we are actually designed or evolved to handle real weather. Example would be sitting in a heated home on a cold day, then going outside. It feels soooo cold. Then go for a walk in the cold for an hour and come back inside. It feels sooooo hot!!!!

                                    I really noticed this while out for a hike last month. Within a few minutes it didn't feel nearly as cold and was actually quite comfortable. The body adjusts with amazing speed to temperature.

                                    We use to damn much energy needlessly!

                                    • 5 votes
                                    #14.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:19 PM EST
                                    MalamuteMan

                                    We use to damn much energy needlessly!

                                    We use to damn much energy... PERIOD!

                                    • 3 votes
                                    #14.4 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 4:35 PM EST
                                    mf-3735877

                                    blue wolf

                                    I thought, what did they know that I don't?

                                    That white men are nuts (says a man who is 87.5% white and 12.5% native American):-)

                                    • 1 vote
                                    #14.5 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 10:49 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    Well, I'm only 1/32 Blackfoot by blood, but just looking around and observing the price the planet seems to have paid for European expansion, I'd say the Natives are onto something lol

                                    I'll restate this: Native views of the proper relationship between man and the earth are vastly superior than the western/european view.

                                    • 5 votes
                                    #14.6 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 12:07 PM EST
                                    cjcold

                                    God save the environment from the cities emptying and everybody thinking they can survive with half an acre and a cow. It would have the same result as a carpet of army ants descending on what few pristine areas are left.

                                    bw,

                                    Truth be told, native Americans weren't actually as perfect stewards of the land as myth tells us. Under current population pressures, traditional native practices would be suicidal.

                                    • 2 votes
                                    #14.7 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 5:10 PM EST
                                    Reply
                                    blue wolf

                                    I really think we've become too pre-occupied to really LIVE anymore.

                                    Maybe we need to rediscover life.

                                    • 5 votes
                                    Reply#15 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 3:45 PM EST
                                    Mongowildman

                                    Wow... This has been around a while and I JUST found it?

                                    Here is my take on green power.

                                    This past October, I formed an LLC based in the green energy community. I am an advocate of solar, wind and hydro energy sources. What I am NOT in favor of is the huge commercial and utility systems that cost more than they are worth to operate and actually are a threat to the environment they are intended to protect.

                                    I am an advocate of the small systems, where they can be tailored to the needs of the operators, in this case, farms and ranches. Even the smaller acreages can get into the mix.

                                    Small wind turbines and roof-top PV systems generate much more power than the average household needs. That excess is sent back into the grid, reducing the load on the existing utilities. Even water wheels, if you are fortunate enough to have a stream or creek on your property with enough drop in elevation can generate enormous amounts of power.

                                    We don't need these 450 foot tall whirlygigs blotting out the scenery, which cost millions to build and millions more to operate. Their payback is marginal and only because the utility companies actually charge MORE for the electricity they generate.

                                    Commercial PV systems are enormous and they again are more or less centralized. One way out and that line is just as vulnerable as the main lines from a power plant. Individual systems, either stand-alone or hybridized, can be very reliable and are not such a distraction to the views of our countryside.

                                    We need to get more small systems online and feeding the grid, reducing the loads and fuel consumption of the major players. We will probably never replace them but we can make what we do have, last a lot longer.

                                    • 4 votes
                                    #16 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 8:12 PM EST
                                    mf-3735877

                                    Mongowildman - Bravo!

                                    • 4 votes
                                    #16.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 10:52 PM EST
                                    MalamuteMan

                                    Small wind turbines and roof-top PV systems...

                                    I would love to do that... If I could afford it. Pump excess generation into the grid, running the meter backwards, essentially banking it for access on cloudy windless days. I have perfect unobstructed due south facing roof-top. We already have solar water heat for domestic hot water and in-floor heat.

                                    • 3 votes
                                    #16.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 11:08 PM EST
                                    Mongowildman

                                    That's the strategy of the new company. To make it more affordable to more people. Still working on it but there are a lot of things that can make a difference.

                                    • 5 votes
                                    #16.3 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 11:10 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    Power production at the place of usage. Bravo. The only problem is that then you won't be dependent upon some "power company", and we can't have that now, can we?

                                    • 2 votes
                                    #16.4 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 12:03 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    Take a lesson from Nature's playbook: Nature deals locally, using the resources that are AT HAND, never needing to go outside the neighborhood, and returning everything it used back into the same neighboorhood.

                                    • 3 votes
                                    #16.5 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 1:09 PM EST
                                    MalamuteMan

                                    Take a lesson from Nature's playbook: Nature deals locally, using the resources that are AT HAND, never needing to go outside the neighborhood, and returning everything it used back into the same neighborhood.

                                    A good lesson indeed... But I doubt that will have much appeal to profiteers... It might work well for Mongowildman, but profiteers who have no ethical boundaries to constrain their need for maximum profit will take whatever they can get from wherever they can get it without concern for others that may need it... and they have little interest in sustainability, returning waste in a healthy way, or doing anything else that might reduce their profit.

                                    • 4 votes
                                    #16.6 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 1:55 PM EST
                                    blue wolf

                                    Sadly very true

                                    But we're gonna change that right?

                                    • 3 votes
                                    #16.7 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 3:26 PM EST
                                    Mongowildman

                                    Nothing wrong with making a living at it... Some folks though, seem to think their living requires millions. That's the sad part about industry in general - the top guns do the least but rake it in.

                                      #16.8 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 7:41 PM EST
                                      MalamuteMan

                                      Nothing wrong with making a living at it...

                                      Absolutely!!! A really good living even!

                                      ...the top guns do the least but rake it in.

                                      And do everything they can to rub out the smaller entrepreneurs so they can have it ALL.

                                        #16.9 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 7:45 PM EST
                                        Mongowildman

                                        And do everything they can to rub out the smaller entrepreneurs so they can have it ALL.

                                        It's the same across the business world. Like the entire driving force is to become the monopoly. Maybe I am an idealist in what I want to see happen, but I also want to make a living at it too. The major players will always be there and if they want to stay competitive, they will need to reevaluate their positions. Jacking up the energy costs to make up for the "losses" as they would put it, because they are not providing 100% to these individuals is not going about it the right way.

                                        I can see it happening, where utility companies go after the small systems and claim they are stealing what they should be providing. Just like satellite and cable companies who go after "pirates". They call it a "loss" when someone watches HBO without paying for it but they don't consider the fact that if they had to pay for it, they would rather do without. Where is the "loss" there? It is just the missed opportunity to take another person's $$. Some day, I see the power companies trying the same thing, to keep in a position of dominance.

                                        They don't want to buy excess power from the small systems. The only reason they do it is because the feds mandated it. They are not in business to buy power, their business is to sell it, which is why they pay only the minimum, while charging higher rates for "natural" power.

                                          #16.10 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 10:58 AM EST
                                          MalamuteMan

                                          The only reason they do it is because the feds mandated it. They are not in business to buy power, their business is to sell it, which is why they pay only the minimum, while charging higher rates for "natural" power.

                                          I don't know if this is still true, but here in Washington state at one point the utilities had a one year limit on how long excess locally generated energy could be banked... If you happened to generate more during the summer than you needed to take back in the winter, you just lost your credits... That was one way of holding down locally generated competition. Do you happen to know if this is still the case, Mongo???

                                          • 1 vote
                                          #16.11 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 4:03 PM EST
                                          Mongowildman

                                          I don't think it would be admitted publicly but you can see it happen. They really don't want to buy the excess power. They would prefer you just gave it away. Some of the larger of the small systems generate 15KW at any given time. The average household can get by on just one or two KW most of the time. Stoves, dryers and other heavy appliances take a lot of power, so 15KW capacity would handle those. The times when all that is not required, it can be sold to the utility companies. The smaller systems need to work in synchronicity ad they draw from and feed back to the utility lines as the day progresses. It does reduce the overall power bill but it is very unlikely that there would be a reversal as the buyback rate is a lot lower than the usage rate.

                                          As for being mandated, I don't think it is actually on the books as a requirement but there are things the feds can impose just because they can, if the utils decide to play unfairly. (or more unfairly)

                                          • 1 vote
                                          #16.12 - Sat Feb 11, 2012 6:04 PM EST
                                          johny-388777

                                          What I am NOT in favor of is the huge commercial and utility systems that cost more than they are worth to operate and actually are a threat to the environment they are intended to protect.

                                          Hmm. Prove it. The thing is that these huge commercial and utilities have expertise. Though again technology moves along and that expertise might be wider available.

                                          • 1 vote
                                          #16.13 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 11:11 PM EST
                                          Mongowildman

                                          There are experts outside of that infrastructure too. I don't want to see giant expensive windmills blotting out the countryside. I don't want to see giant solar farms blocking out huge plots of land for a central power system either.

                                          I want to see it spread out and decentralized as much as prudently possible.

                                          These huge expensive projects are not as environmentally friendly as they suggest. For starters, they are hideously distorting the natural surroundings. Huge towers which can't have anything within their heights in radius for a safety margin, taking up valuable space that could otherwise be put to use.

                                          I do understand that the wind is better at higher levels but who really cares all that much about efficiency when the source is unlimited and free in the first place? Inefficient systems can be built much more cheaply and although they need to be a little bigger than the state of the art, they will do just fine. Being built from readily available parts and materials, no specially designed junk to add to the costs makes it much more economical and serviceable too.

                                            #16.14 - Sun Feb 12, 2012 11:47 PM EST
                                            MalamuteMan

                                            ...who really cares all that much about efficiency when the source is unlimited and free in the first place?

                                            A good point! It seems like efficiency would be more important for usage than generation.

                                              #16.15 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 12:57 AM EST
                                              johny-388777

                                              Because efficiencies mean reduced cost. Why?

                                              Then we have more time to do other things. Though in the real world a small number do suffer, the majority is better off for the new tech. The computers free up labor to do things that are hard for computers to do. The computers bring about quality that was not possible getting people to do it. The computers make processing payments with less error.

                                              Efficienices mean that a doctor can look at many patients and diagonise many patients and get the right medicine the right time. The machines that analyse the blood and other products come from complex and diverse technologies that have been used innovatively.

                                              Again I think you look at efficiency different to me. Though more efficient motors as expensive, it means they are more powerful ( more bank for buck). Yes everything is expensive when the technology is new and the development costs need to be recouped.

                                              Im going off track but I am trying to use Analogies to bring home the point.

                                              • 2 votes
                                              #16.16 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 2:10 AM EST
                                              johny-388777

                                              I dont want to go into generation and why we need efficient generation.

                                              Read that up yourself. I will give you the problems in generation. The key problems even over short spans has been transmission. How much power you can transmit to do actual work.

                                              Then the motors that you seem to take for granted were developed over 150 years of research and continued research with millions of man hours. Efficiencies do matter and always matter.

                                              The cost to bring you the motors and generator sets cost money. If they were smaller and lighter. It brings a whole lot of efficiencies. IF its small. You can put it in your roof cavity. When you put it in your roof cavity. If its small it might generate less heat and small means it wont have to be water proof. Again less cost.Its easy to install if its small. Its easy to move when its small. Its safe to install when its small.

                                              Thats why we need more efficient things. Small things are easier for us to use and install.

                                              The more efficient it is, it means you can use more things on it.

                                              I suspect you are talking about trying to minimize the cost. The actual building and manufacture is one cost. The logistical costs usually for small items can be 70% of the cost.

                                              The key advantages of the USA is innovation ( people) and size. When you build bigger you get efficiencies with many current technologies in generation.

                                              • 1 vote
                                              #16.17 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 2:14 AM EST
                                              Mongowildman

                                              The problem with efficient things is the cost more. That's the whole point of my argument. If the energy source is free and inexhaustible, tap into it as cheaply as you can. Efficient power generation it not all that important in this case.

                                              Using that power on the other hand, yeah, try to use it as efficiently as you can afford. Storage takes a lot of room and limits your ability to supply power for extended periods. Use it wisely and you will do fine.

                                              The major costs are the utility companies installing these giant eyesores, and scattering them across the countryside. They may be efficient but their operating costs are high too. State of the art is always more expensive and I really don't see the need, except that they want to sell that power and still make a profit. Small systems are not in it for profit, they are in it for independence.

                                                #16.18 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 6:40 AM EST
                                                johny-388777

                                                I have to disagree.

                                                Its an illusion. This cost amortized over time brings down the cost. The Efficiencies we have are only the beginning. We need newer materials that are stronger and lighter. We will see greater energy savings then before. If we don't do it, someone else will.

                                                • 1 vote
                                                #16.19 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 6:55 AM EST
                                                Mongowildman

                                                You aren't saving anything by spending extra on something that really isn't necessary. These efficient things may all be well and good for the commercial providers but not for the farmers and ranchers that own and operate their smaller systems. They need to maintain them without having to rely on outside help so they need to be relatively simple. Sure, if they want to go efficient, that's fine but I really don't think it is essential for energy independence. If the energy source was limited or controlled, I can see it but the Sun and the wind are FREE and abundant. So it takes a little more room... It's really not that much more and there is plenty of power to go around. These systems can be built on a very limited budget and begin paying off right away. The more expensive and complicated things get, the longer the payoff, if ever.

                                                  #16.20 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 1:07 PM EST
                                                  Reply
                                                  Time Lord

                                                  Malman...GREETINGS my friend. Long time no see.

                                                  "...it is quite simply accepting the idea that we must learn to live within the limits of our precious Blue Marble's capacity to support us."

                                                  From the studies I've seen...with petrol, we are sustaining 7 billion people. Without petrol, that "sustainable" number drops to about 1.5 billion people. It's reasonable to conclude, as petrol increasingly becomes depleated...there would be a corollary reduction in our global population numbers as well as people compete for resources that become increasingly more scarce.

                                                  • 2 votes
                                                  Reply#17 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 8:26 PM EST
                                                  mf-3735877

                                                  Our choices are controlled contraction or catastrophic collapse. There will be less people one way or another.

                                                  • 2 votes
                                                  #17.1 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 10:53 PM EST
                                                  MalamuteMan

                                                  Hi Time Lord,

                                                  ...as people compete for resources that become increasingly more scarce.

                                                  I am a little worried about how that will play out.

                                                  • 2 votes
                                                  #17.2 - Thu Feb 9, 2012 11:10 PM EST
                                                  Time Lord

                                                  Understandably so...all we have to do is look at the fish inna pond that is drying up to know what will happen. While we may be able to "generate" renewable energy...we are not going to be "generating" any more petrol and ALL the related products that are produced from petrol based products.

                                                  It will be at this point that we will begin to recycle our asphalt highways to extract the petrol products. Our garbage dumps will become "gold mines" of the future. They will be "mined", reclaiming all those used tires and plastic crap that we've been discarding and burying for the past 60-70 years and recycling all that petrol based material...like we SHOULD be doing now. Today's "dumps" will be tomorrows gold mines.

                                                  It makes me smile when I see ads that solicit "junk" gold, but a great marketing ploy to devalue and buy cheap and sell high. We view our "waste" in much the same way...

                                                  "One man's trash is another man's treasure".

                                                  • 4 votes
                                                  #17.3 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 2:47 PM EST
                                                  MalamuteMan

                                                  Today's "dumps" will be tomorrows gold mines.

                                                  Ironic isn't... The austerity of those future days could be mitigated so easily by limiting our indulgence now... but who wants to do that??? *sigh*

                                                  • 3 votes
                                                  #17.4 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 4:02 PM EST
                                                  johny-388777

                                                  I doubt that the dumps will be gold mines.

                                                  Though its wait and see.

                                                  We have material science moving along and even steel maybe completely replaced by super strong and super light materials that exist but hard to use practically.

                                                  • 1 vote
                                                  #17.5 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 2:02 AM EST
                                                  johny-388777

                                                  as people compete for resources that become increasingly more scarce.

                                                  Which resources are becoming more scarce?

                                                  Oil? Prove which one is becoming more scarce? Water?

                                                  What grass?


                                                  • 1 vote
                                                  #17.6 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 2:16 AM EST
                                                  johny-388777

                                                  We have more resources now per capital then before.

                                                  • 1 vote
                                                  #17.7 - Mon Feb 13, 2012 3:28 AM EST
                                                  Reply
                                                  Grisham

                                                  Loved the article, Mal. You did an amazing job writing it. I think you're on to something with the technology angle. I personally think we need to move away from fossil fuels as fast as possible.

                                                  • 5 votes
                                                  Reply#18 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 12:04 AM EST
                                                  MalamuteMan

                                                  Thanks Grisham!

                                                  • 2 votes
                                                  #18.1 - Fri Feb 10, 2012 5:02 PM EST
                                                  Reply
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